Terms of Service

1. About To120 and these terms

To120, including its Hebrew edition, עד 120, is operated by Ariel Danieli, based in Toronto, Ontario, Canada ("To120," "we," "us," or "our"). These Terms of Service govern your use of https://twonetwenty.com, its language editions, and the content and tools made available through it (the "Website"). To120 is the name of the project; the operator identified in these terms is Ariel Danieli.

These terms govern your use of the Website to the extent that a binding agreement is formed under applicable law. If you do not agree, please stop using the Website. Nothing in these terms deems you to have read every provision or waives rights that cannot lawfully be waived.

Our Privacy Policy separately explains how we handle personal information. Agreement to these terms does not, by itself, constitute consent to optional analytics or other processing that requires separate consent.

The English and Hebrew editions concern the same Toronto-based operation. Choosing a language does not select a different operator, governing law, or set of privacy choices.

2. What the Website provides

To120 provides information and analysis about Israeli elections, including polling summaries, statistical forecasts, estimated vote shares and seats, uncertainty ranges, electoral-threshold probabilities, historical comparisons, and interactive coalition or scenario tools.

To120 is an independent information project, not an electoral authority. Our forecasts and commentary are not official election results, statements by a political party, or instructions from a government body. References to parties, candidates, polling organizations, or media outlets do not imply their endorsement of To120 or our endorsement of them.

The Website is provided for general information, research, education, and discussion. It does not provide personalized legal, financial, investment, or betting advice.

3. Understanding forecasts, historical data, and scenarios

Forecasts are estimates, not promises. They depend on the available data, assumptions, methodology, and model version identified for the relevant output. Actual outcomes may differ substantially from a forecast, including falling outside displayed uncertainty ranges.

A probability is not a guarantee. A projected seat allocation, threshold probability, or bloc-majority probability should be read alongside its date, uncertainty, methodology, and explanatory notes. Different models may produce different results from similar information.

Interactive scenarios reflect the inputs and assumptions selected. A mathematically possible majority does not establish that a coalition is politically feasible or that the parties will agree to form it. User-created scenarios are not official To120 forecasts unless explicitly identified as such.

Historical pages may include original publications, subsequently corrected data, or retrospective model reconstructions. A retrospective backtest or reconstruction is not evidence that To120 published that prediction before the election. Please consult the labels and methodology accompanying each series.

Demonstration, mock, experimental, or preview content is not a current election forecast unless expressly identified as a genuine model output. Partial election-night information, where displayed, is provisional and should not be treated as certified results.

4. Accuracy, updates, and availability

We aim to present information carefully, but errors, omissions, publication delays, unavailable sources, and technical problems may occur. We may correct content, revise methodologies, replace data, or change or discontinue features.

Unless expressly stated for a particular service, we do not promise uninterrupted availability, updates at a particular frequency, permanent access to an archive, or continued availability of a particular model or data format. Check an output’s timestamp before relying on or sharing it.

Please report suspected errors to to120ad120@gmail.com, identifying the relevant page and, where possible, the source or reason for the correction.

5. Intellectual property and permitted reuse

Rights in our original text, visual designs, charts, software, and other protected material belong to Ariel Danieli or the relevant rights holders who have authorized their use, except where otherwise stated. Third-party materials remain subject to their owners’ rights and applicable licences. We do not claim ownership of underlying facts or data as such, or rights that the law does not recognize.

Unless a specific item carries different licence terms, we permit you to share links. We also permit reproduction of reasonable excerpts, individual charts, and screenshots for non-commercial personal use, teaching, research, criticism, commentary, and news reporting, provided that you:

• Clearly credit To120 / עד 120, include a source link where practicable, and identify the relevant forecast or publication date.
• Preserve material qualifications, uncertainty labels, and source credits, and clearly identify any modifications.
• Do not falsely imply endorsement, partnership, or that your own analysis or scenario is an official To120 output.

Commercial use of the model's data inputs or outputs made available through To 120 requires Ariel Danieli's explicit prior written consent, unless the use is independently permitted by applicable law.

This permission covers only rights we are entitled to grant. Systematic republication, resale of our protected compilations, or incorporation of substantial protected content into another product requires our written permission unless allowed by applicable law or an express licence. Public downloads or code carrying a separate licence are governed by that licence.

Nothing in these terms restricts fair dealing under Canada’s Copyright Act, lawful quotation, criticism, independent evaluation, or another exception or permitted use under applicable law. Uses permitted by law do not depend on obtaining our separate permission. Access to public outputs does not grant access to unpublished code, private datasets, or confidential project materials.

6. Acceptable use

You must not use the Website unlawfully, introduce malicious code, interfere with its operation, attempt unauthorized access, evade access controls or rate limits, impersonate us, or use our branding to misrepresent the origin or endorsement of content.

Automated access must respect applicable law, published access rules, technical restrictions, and reasonable rate limits. It must not materially disrupt the Website or bypass protections. Any expressly licensed data access remains subject to its own terms.

This section does not remove statutory user rights or create exclusive rights in unprotected facts.

7. External sources and services

The Website may link to third-party websites, datasets, publications, or services. Those providers control their own content, availability, terms, and privacy practices. A link or citation is not a guarantee of accuracy, availability, or suitability.

Our responsibility for our own handling of personal information is addressed in the Privacy Policy and is not displaced by linking to a third party.

8. Disclaimers and responsibility

The Website and its content are provided in their available condition, subject to the operator’s obligations under applicable law. We do not guarantee that a forecast will occur, that every item will be free from error, or that the Website will be suitable for a particular professional or personal purpose.

You should exercise independent judgment and consider further verification before relying on the Website. A forecast should not be treated as a certain outcome, official certification, or personalized advice. In particular, the Website is not intended to be the sole basis for financial or betting decisions.

These terms do not create a blanket exclusion of liability. Any liability for loss or damage is determined under applicable law and the circumstances, including the operator’s duties and how information was presented and used. Explaining statistical uncertainty does not remove our legal obligations.

Nothing in these terms excludes or limits liability for fraud, wilful misconduct, gross negligence, personal injury, or any other liability that cannot lawfully be excluded or limited. Nothing removes mandatory consumer or privacy protections, access to courts or regulators, or other non-waivable remedies. These terms contain no compulsory arbitration clause or class-action waiver.

9. Restrictions and changes to these terms

We may reasonably restrict access where necessary to address misuse, security risks, legal obligations, or serious operational problems. Where practicable and appropriate, we will explain the restriction and provide a contact route for questions.

We may update these terms. The revised version will show its effective date. For material changes, we will provide a reasonably prominent notice before they take effect, except where an immediate change is necessary for legal or security reasons. Where applicable law requires renewed agreement, we will seek it. Changes do not retroactively remove rights that have already arisen.

10. Governing law, language versions, and contact

Subject to mandatory applicable law, these terms are governed by the laws of the Province of Ontario and the federal laws of Canada applicable in Ontario.

Subject to applicable jurisdictional rules, disputes may be brought before courts of competent jurisdiction in Ontario, Canada, on a non-exclusive basis. This is not a requirement to sue only in Toronto or only in Ontario. Nothing in these terms prevents a claim before another competent court, a complaint to a regulator, or the exercise of mandatory rights available under another applicable law.

The choice of Ontario law does not determine, by itself, which privacy, consumer-protection, or other mandatory laws apply to a particular activity or person. It does not exclude mandatory protections under Israeli law or another jurisdiction’s law where those protections apply.

The English and Hebrew versions are intended to have the same meaning. A translation discrepancy does not authorize us to reduce a protection promised to you or expand the use of your personal information. Please report any discrepancy so we can correct it. Interpretation remains subject to applicable law; choosing the Hebrew edition does not change the governing-law clause.

If a provision is unenforceable, the remaining provisions continue to apply to the extent legally possible. A failure to enforce a provision immediately is not a waiver of it.

Questions, permissions, and legal notices may be sent to Ariel Danieli at to120ad120@gmail.com.