The race to 61.

Netanyahu-aligned bloc’s majority chance fell by 2.7 percentage points.

Netanyahu-aligned bloc

5.4%

Chance of 61+ seats

−2.7 pp vs previous update

1.7%

Chance of 61+ seats

+0.4 pp vs previous update

How do the 120 seats divide?

120 seats

120 seats

Likud & Yashar!: 23 seats each, leading the forecast.Raam: 72.2% chance of entry · −1.8 pp

ELECTORAL THRESHOLD · 3.25% OF VOTES

Each party’s chance of entering the Knesset

Oct 26, 2026

Vote Share Only

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