{"clock_notes":"model_available_from may be capture/binding time, not publication. Date-only history is available only on a later local date. state_target_time is the model query time; information_cutoff limits evidence.","formats":{"csv":"UTF-8 with BOM; header row; nested cells are JSON; empty means unknown","json":"UTF-8; numeric types preserved; null means unknown"},"probability_unit":"fraction from 0 to 1","public_revision_id":"Earlier same-date public issue identity. Rows with this field are preserved outputs from that issue, not current calculations.","revision_status":"SUPERSEDED_SAME_DAY_PUBLIC_REVISION_PRESERVED identifies earlier public outputs; unlabelled rows are the final current snapshot for that date.","schema_version":"k26_reader_data_v1","scope":"Public R and D derived aggregate downloads, authorized by K26-RD-PUBLIC-DISPLAY-20260927-001. No respondent records, private documents, databases, local paths or experimental pollster ratings.","seat_unit":"seats","table_columns":{"bloc_forecasts":["forecast_date","information_cutoff","snapshot_status","arm","expected_seats","government_formation_claim","group_id","label_en","label_he","member_party_ids","p_at_least_61_seats","probability_condition","seat_q10","seat_q90"],"current_calibration":["b5_fallback_used","contest_party_id","m_candidate_id","m_identity_mapping_digest","m_identity_sidecar_sha256","m_state_service_id","seat_history_polls","seat_q_native_per_day","seat_r_or_u_native","seat_role","vote_history_polls","vote_parameter_source","vote_q_native_per_day","vote_r_or_u_native"],"current_poll_weights":["forecast_date","arm","party_id","coordinate_id","survey_budget_id","pollster_literal","measurement_time","vote_share_pp","effective_observation_variance_pp2","gain_at_observation","final_mean_weight","weighted_point_component_pp"],"current_seat_distributions":["forecast_date","arm","group_kind","group_id","seat_total","raw_draw_count","weighted_draw_count","probability","weighting"],"daily_status":["forecast_date","information_cutoff","snapshot_status","forecast_status","reason","draw_count","horizon_days","available_poll_budget_count"],"held_vote_observations":["model_consuming","pdf_sha256","pollster","reason","record_id","reported_value_pp","source_entity_label_or_binding","source_url","survey_budget_id","current_status","historical_source_preserved","source_status","response_base","source_page","subgroup","source_capture_sha256","N1_denominator_pp","N1_factor","N1_value_pp","generic_other_retained","population","source_sha256","source_table_locator","censored_bound","source_urls","source_literal","deterministic_N1_value_pp","source_question"],"input_membership":["forecast_date","information_cutoff","state_target_time","input_role","target_party_id","coordinate_id","survey_budget_id"],"latest_admitted_polls":["forecast_date","arm","observation_lane","survey_budget_id","input_role","outlet","pollster","fieldwork_start","fieldwork_end","publication_date","model_measurement_time","model_available_from","sample_size_reported","source_status","source_urls","covered_party_ids","scope","selection_clock","admission_evidence"],"model_inputs":["coordinate_id","source_coordinate_id","cycle","routed_entity_id","observation_lane","native_value_unit","numeric_value","measurement_time","available_from","clock_precision","measurement_variance_floor","population_binding","model_state_epoch_id","denominator_stratum","governed_model_support_family_id","governed_one_poll_budget_id","pollster","raw_scenario_id","governed_semantic_scenario_class","model_valid_from","model_valid_until","n1_status","n1_reported_value_pp","n1_denominator_pp","n1_factor"],"n1_normalization_audit":["authority","coordinate_count","factor","full_source_table_total_pp","generic_other_removed","n1_denominator_pp","nonresponse_categories","removed_nonresponse_pp","scenario_id","source_refs","source_response_categories","status","survey_budget_id","national_forecast_consuming","source_only_N1_vote_total_pp","source_population","source_stage","source_pdf_sha256","censored_party_count","national_vote_forecast_consuming","reason","source_visible_point_percent_total_pp"],"party_forecasts":["forecast_date","information_cutoff","snapshot_status","arm","closed_model_point_pp","contest_party_id","display_name_en","display_name_he","expected_seats","group_id","headline_seats","p_above_legal_threshold","p_below_legal_threshold","p_represented","proposal_list_key","raw_b5_point_pp","seat_q10","seat_q90","seat_range_display","seat_range_high","seat_range_low","seat_range_mode","vote_mean_pp","vote_q10_pp","vote_q2_5_pp","vote_q90_pp","vote_q97_5_pp","zero_seat_probability"],"poll_observations":["clock_precision","coordinate_id","current_model_roles","fieldwork_end","fieldwork_start","input_disposition","input_disposition_authority","metadata_missing_is_unknown","model_available_from","model_measurement_time","numeric_input_value","observation_lane","outlet","pollster_literal","prepared_denominator","prepared_population","present_in_transformed_runtime","raw_value_text","reported_numeric_value","sample_size_for_measurement_floor","sample_size_reported","scenario_id","source_class","source_denominator","source_entity_binding","source_label","source_namespace","source_publication_date","source_record_id","source_sha256","source_status","source_table_locator","source_urls","survey_budget_id","unit","value_kind","zero_provenance_status"],"source_response_categories":["allocation_to_individual_parties","category","model_party_coordinate","pdf_sha256","record_id","reported_value_pp","response_base","source_url","survey_budget_id","national_aggregate_available","subgroup","subgroup_sample_size","N1_denominator_pp","N1_value_pp","national_forecast_consuming","response_category_or_party_id","source_population","source_sha256","source_stage","reported_value","response_category_or_metadata","source_pages","survey_refusal_not_vote_question_nonresponse","not_a_complete_vote_vector","not_used_as_N1_denominator","source_response_categories","source_urls","separate_questions_not_used_as_N1_denominator","PDF_generic_other_pp","PDF_named_party_percent","field","publisher_percent","record_kind","resolution","PDF_LIKUD","PDF_YASHAR","authority","publisher_text_LIKUD","publisher_text_YASHAR","publisher_url","secondary_LIKUD","published_opposition","sum_reported_party_seats","primary","secondary","pollster_report","publisher_text","completed_n","initial_n","invited_n","reported_pp","fieldwork_dates","primary_publisher_retrieval","sample_metadata_source","skarim_and_underwar_reported","ynet_reported","official_PDF","predecessor","official_fieldwork_end","predecessor_publication_proxy"],"source_successions":["authority","effective_from","old_source_preserved","same_survey_not_independent_poll","successor_budget_id","superseded_budget_id","earlier_issued_outputs_preserved","new_independent_survey","predecessor_budget_id","record_id","same_survey_one_budget","source_sha256","vote_lane_disposition"],"source_surface_holds":["reason","record_id","source_url","authority","future_sources_excluded","model_consuming","permanent","pollster","source_hash_status","source_sha256","M_population_binding","complete_national_vote_vector_admitted","national_adult_population_literal_available","unreported_parties","N1_applied","national_forecast_consuming","organization_authority","organization_exclusion_active","population","source_pages","source_population_authority","survey_budget_id","affected_lane","national_seat_evidence_consuming","no_N1_denominator_inferred","no_censored_value_imputation","no_complete_vote_vector_admitted","seat_evidence_consuming","source_urls","current_status","current_unresolved_hold","resolved_in_issue","discovery_source","existing_survey_budget_id","existing_verified_source_retained","new_independent_survey","file_received","fieldwork_dates","sample_size","source_filename","source_pages_reviewed","source_response_categories","source_vote_values"],"uncertainty_targets":["forecast_date","information_cutoff","snapshot_status","party_id","horizon_variance_pp2","list","point_pp","variance_after","variance_before"]},"table_meanings":{"bloc_forecasts":"R and D arithmetic bloc summaries; seat_q10/seat_q90 are unconditional. P61 is not government-formation probability.","current_calibration":"Current M vote and seat states. The seat lane is attestation only for R; these are not fitted states for every past date.","current_draws":"Today's joint simulations, preserving common draw IDs across all lists and arms. CSV has vote and seat columns per list; JSON stores matrices in party_order. R uses weight_R=1/N; D uses the exported normalized weight_D. Each draw totals 120 seats.","current_poll_weights":"Current R point-filter weights conditional on fitted Q/R, before vector closure. They sum to one per party and reproduce raw_b5_point_pp; they are not pollster ratings or full model derivatives. gain_at_observation=1 for the initializing poll.","current_seat_distributions":"Both arms on the full 0–120 seat axis. raw_draw_count counts shared proposal draws; probability uses each arm's weights. weighted_draw_count is probability times bank size and need not be an integer. For D, raw counts divided by bank size do not reproduce its probabilities.","daily_status":"All 90 dates, including unavailable histories and future projections; available_poll_budget_count is a surface census, not a per-party consuming count.","input_membership":"Exact collapsed per-date R point histories, shared M vote-cycle calibration support, seat-state attestation histories and D incremental seat evidence. D uses the R proposal plus the selected incremental seat marginals. Future dates reuse the current information cutoff and state. Seat attestation does not affect the R vote point. Unavailable dates have no forecast membership rows.","model_inputs":"Exact transformed runtime coordinates across the 90-date window. Presence alone does not establish consumption. Join input_membership on coordinate_id. model_valid_until is exclusive.","n1_normalization_audit":"One row per runtime vote question. RAW_ALL_RESPONDENTS removes explicit same-question nonresponse with value*100/(100-nonresponse). N1_ALREADY_PUBLISHED preserves an already party-only base. Unknown same-base nonresponse does not establish zero. Generic other party responses are retained; interview nonparticipation rates are never a vote denominator.","party_forecasts":"Complete numeric R and D party summaries, distinguished by arm. headline_seats is legal allocation of the arm-weighted draw-mean vote vector; expected_seats is its weighted seat mean. Positive seat_range fields are conditional on representation.","poll_observations":"Numeric source surface prepared for this run, including held and superseded records; not a full discovery database. numeric_input_value can be a deterministic seat zero, as indicated by value_kind. Source labels and metadata are null when not retained. source_entity_binding is the prior governed binding, not the printed label.","uncertainty_targets":"Per-date, per-list point and target variance before/after the configured stability bound. These are model targets, not additional polls."},"vote_unit":"percentage points"}