{"current_information_cutoff":"2026-09-27T17:25:12+03:00","row_count":249,"rows":[{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::18abc6824b358b93bc09a0f8d7b9f80992caa754d460e5d0b8e86c67accfcade","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.040951308320978395,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-02T17:15:00+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e59cc97cc4e23c6973f28fffc9ab02b0858db0540932b03c3e25964a3bbece88","vote_share_pp":18.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7535040731060024},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::9e81ac00f93ebe105606d4707bf236a284a42428adc6e9f1447b8fd0d3a97c2b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.03555829603232214,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.4647559784536803,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":18.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6613843062011919},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::454e83dc39967430094d130c3f26c207f9b4846004c459613a39c1d8b7c22f7f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.04095576062247751,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.348662438761611,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":18.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7658727236403293},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::a9ce938077fd378990669d4e0419812cee501fa780489c38f68d13d2799d27be","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.03903599103088278,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24942909139535746,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":18.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7143586358651549},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::051198d9bc051280eaf222353039354ff781d56ecc55fe2d28d6e05060af4629","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.03557143394958479,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.18519767405725712,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":17.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6118286639328584},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::d66e5ddf5b8d81caf27603740a47eb20bf4e5cbd43a87f0ed97cd515770dd292","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.03904910167682373,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1689545780406572,"measurement_time":"2026-08-13T14:30:00+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע\"מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d5712d9b55d31d1c05268d070791a9ef349ae9631fe4af3406a2db5f4470aa0c","vote_share_pp":22.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.8942244283992634},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::03d9839a07c60df0b8364bfa748130de04cb38017864a1fccc007805ae059dde","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.08193605445086384,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.26172807774346085,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":17.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.4338809528901173},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::9ffdea8ac134c2b5d1b3efad63ff79948a274f47cf57e13a751ab777df49b59a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.03559836549884544,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10210159494099279,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":16.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5838131941810651},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::8e61e16045e4c42a39e0b3063475f5d41cd13c8c20e35733cba6bf1716696cdb","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.03907585649025561,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10078053797923518,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":17.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6877350742284989},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::2a35923e016ee53834ced3e0a94d69e76ee707256c74a376bdb3643f0c54d786","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.0390875497363318,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0915785942058792,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":17.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.672305855464907},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::ff803e28ee9e5b36fd7bcf7e119d082d6f41dc3e72229c9a358ecf7417c4a1f3","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.03910963161486095,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08393897414530928,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":16.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6531308479681779},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::26830e9a21a001b0e833a9b684ef0871176ae909136f82e87c6ac7bb78b91fc3","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.03564049014131147,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07105788133549536,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":17.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6094523814164262},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::a92165f122b90024f0bb276203ae486f4323e34ffc78bc7a34fd019d16162d97","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.5469314079422385,"final_mean_weight":0.07079784829610981,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.12369295087325569,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":17.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.2035634210338668},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::dfc17e160f8f74815a62d03c708d838eb8a6657cb30c2ebd0a5e3e2243ad5ff1","effective_observation_variance_pp2":3.0687139084112984,"final_mean_weight":0.058830503155402114,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.09320448631294151,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":16.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.9648202517485945},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::2dc97138befa6b988af7dca05f1353f061171a9ffe744e1d4b7cd43a99eae4ae","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.007746106362368,"final_mean_weight":0.08994543140367438,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.12472609977711072,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":19.57,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.7602320925699075},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::552dda27007706ce121f88382b8dfaddc49d29ed5b14e77b9629e536923267b0","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.4638112522686026,"final_mean_weight":0.07334574843044463,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.09231809904752569,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":16.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.188201124573203},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::fa1b8c42341df3a3bf8a5d51b2cdfe0e9cab27644f0d2be8f9ea711120bd808d","effective_observation_variance_pp2":3.225600000000001,"final_mean_weight":0.05602371040705346,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.06587048646468048,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":21.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.2101121447923548},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::2545fb42efba724a2bb52c0ad77cd3efe75b15a7101d393ccf5da501178dc346","effective_observation_variance_pp2":3.0286343612334803,"final_mean_weight":0.059786431989292343,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.06567775893453225,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":16.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.9864761278233236},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::83d95b96c99b5734e159c0d8cbe6a84842aa321214a1af88534713c47f44eae5","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.02072131147541,"final_mean_weight":0.08970048675248492,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08970048675248492,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"LIKUD","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":14.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.2916870092357828},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::8124ac721301b8472fe6cf96f3e0aeae6e69579962f044bc1ba0d571d1c5ed1f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.02281690440730826,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-02T17:15:00+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e59cc97cc4e23c6973f28fffc9ab02b0858db0540932b03c3e25964a3bbece88","vote_share_pp":6.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.14602818820677285},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::ba283916d7acd240031581909b3b55d16d051f342ceab4814cf3827f78746523","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.019812071328637805,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.4647559784536803,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":5.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1129288065732355},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::f04c8b7f7a15206484edfc59571b51f6e38e494ba1bae34f1d9bb1c863c77a1e","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.022819385103087297,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.348662438761611,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":5.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1300704950875976},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::6088466935082c75a0582f9590e88b2e905b5c709f551548783dbeb199712a61","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02174974408180068,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24942909139535746,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":6.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.13267343889898414},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::b32399b4c67f8036eb0590a9bbdf501b97b35c13d352391e1054094d7f8da277","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.01981939140251538,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.18519767405725712,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":5.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.10702471357358306},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::5d2a3c2830f508350b8ff5fae67b0e60ecd5a6e0b1c5d110f087bbef3380392a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02175704896087336,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1689545780406572,"measurement_time":"2026-08-13T14:30:00+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע\"מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d5712d9b55d31d1c05268d070791a9ef349ae9631fe4af3406a2db5f4470aa0c","vote_share_pp":6.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1327179986613275},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::c5f063f9450f4d430c0eb98a5aa1fb44fa44f18d414c6288b44629ab7406a102","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.04565243941082219,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.26172807774346085,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":5.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.24652317281843986},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::d7c99f256ec33b6a3ef2d451a53fc84f8f761f4ae9a14d3d8bc04fb17e95e1ed","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.019834396895873598,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10210159494099279,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":5.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.10512230354813007},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::5fac2a01fa5e4387becfaba7015c291d50976a0a6b5e84e5d1b2d6a348cd9c5b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.021771955982053882,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10078053797923518,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":5.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.11756856230309097},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::8404b12b659fc85fc99fa86b119815d4d4c06802523ba9d84c6266593ea05b14","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02177847112623047,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0915785942058792,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":5.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1197815911942676},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::646a6407ae2c5724d77e2b31f21d0163e7bae6e910fd7af4e2cba561642bf68a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.021790774520973926,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08393897414530928,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":5.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1176701824132592},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::0d0fec3971b02bb60066d392258a3d526d49b6e9165c1f7b1d18edb1bd4ed1fb","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.019857867548698813,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07105788133549536,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":5.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.10326091125323383},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::a592fb180d1c275746c92c84dcf5a5c76a8996ea77f50e5e6e4d49021718d3ea","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9702346570397111,"final_mean_weight":0.1035498479958392,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.27035786852157306,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":5.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5902341335762835},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::c74fe2b7cc701298822a859ee71970b1fe7f8126e92a2ea290e37b4d5ed64d47","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.2228837459152155,"final_mean_weight":0.08227492893657529,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.17682686670077397,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":5.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.47719458783213664},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::f6696d17d8cfc6b39739e8004879108c7e18edfbd591eee4113638162f9b6a90","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9140987718216648,"final_mean_weight":0.11011084594987507,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.19136530642478794,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":7.77,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.8555612730305292},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::43bcee3319fdf3b0ce4143a47742f2f580b2f999d6e4bffe1b74aa3c90ce7541","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9594192377495461,"final_mean_weight":0.10501136477564074,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.15433600346645418,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":5.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5880636427435881},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::5a7139d66a79451b3b5945f400f3a7c36c52e7cf7560f8384ba2a38ec20caad0","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9560190476190475,"final_mean_weight":0.10538484960001694,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.13411285807429513,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":5.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5585397028800898},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::cf13fd3e931bf317c90c645dcd34a56c4d7144c42d4de67af1242d9d91b565a6","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.2010340552375425,"final_mean_weight":0.08416381036971589,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.09674489382262227,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":5.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.4881501001443521},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::b8c4cc72ece4e6c1b5e7c2c53cd992840caa08d158e2f729c396f8d99eeb0b6d","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7786885245901639,"final_mean_weight":0.1300439016034612,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1300439016034612,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"SHAS","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":5.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6502195080173059},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::e8d006ccb17a6a179f00132c99f5c87a5974da205f1a35762ac6e9914d0e18ee","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.023055215687375938,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-02T17:15:00+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e59cc97cc4e23c6973f28fffc9ab02b0858db0540932b03c3e25964a3bbece88","vote_share_pp":6.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.147553380399206},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::bcd2327524e0b6698dcf2720eaa69019622ad5aac9d3b300807f2ab60b563dae","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.020018998613550637,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.4647559784536803,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":6.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.12812159112672408},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::f80457ad8247cbc38bd3c896158082be12dab2a1d7f9165583e12c55e0ed88d1","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.023057722292795305,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.348662438761611,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":6.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.14987519490316947},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::d1a323b4927e9c154081276fdc355d876099b8d3e9510ed30be36580f9194ab5","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02197690940014327,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24942909139535746,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":6.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.13405914734087393},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::28a6d13182f9266cbdf01882ce0112e0a36a1e6e45f77bb6067e40816fa0952b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.02002639514197896,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.18519767405725712,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":6.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.12416364988026955},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::328fe01f80de00c43555f0a836d39b8beb8bf07771a35a31444fb5929441d320","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.021984290575064472,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1689545780406572,"measurement_time":"2026-08-13T14:30:00+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע\"מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d5712d9b55d31d1c05268d070791a9ef349ae9631fe4af3406a2db5f4470aa0c","vote_share_pp":6.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1494931759104384},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::cd5778fca1b29a88171d9f7bc94609ff70e9a1d30cfc8c5748685f3d46b3393c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.04612925655831922,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.26172807774346085,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":6.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.28600139066157915},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::fd0dca543f14f59fefdd2b6ed0e828e949a5b158c88d3b455026c8a567b78e82","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.02004155736029278,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10210159494099279,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":5.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.11824518842572741},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::a087324eb2e4354a4e35e8468de70f1fc1f434086b9c3e6c0382c9c84d309da7","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.021999353292707406,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10078053797923518,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":6.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.13419605508551516},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::598b72b5051ddf69763299283c02de2aec588a68aa4ee051c19b8c7d28d861db","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.022005936484342188,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0915785942058792,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":6.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.13643680620292156},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::efc8578d78f50202e249de0aa6a95349cb14a1b036757c6385a328c5f8dd3d89","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.022018368381957813,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08393897414530928,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":6.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.13431204712994266},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::e67a8569b49ea9e2f1a4ce91269c46959ab82021e5e56eb8a38535fa794a7079","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.020065273152476904,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07105788133549536,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":6.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1264112208606045},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::f601579b3a10f9ab58aeedcabb8c435a8309163e6735314d517a9b68eeacbea6","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.0970216606498195,"final_mean_weight":0.09253872536783196,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.2468239049550991,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":6.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6015017148909078},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::bbc1c942e9c9b826a036dced6f44e2b6363e5803e011a913d25689538029a998","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.3602891803572228,"final_mean_weight":0.07473333290829966,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1662028488633553,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":6.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.4857666639039478},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::cc82065e7ff2ca2de17338510cc1b2bf89fa42087e64ce16e9704b9517d1da4d","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.6969133667600413,"final_mean_weight":0.14592507048411948,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24501486138004636,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":5.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.846365408807893},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::55c4a9ea8c82cc91843e134c684f2a2936c9979ba8eb05def0464be0df877dfc","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9755172413793103,"final_mean_weight":0.10435314733575159,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.14909092905559038,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":5.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.594812939813784},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::8eea58a01986de9ba173758659d8132e68ae89693ec40fc54f3b11834ce09f93","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.0910285714285717,"final_mean_weight":0.09330488411034772,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1176258615875182,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":6.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.569159793073121},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::8bda5623c8e3114769941eaa1c5e300ef8a543e9b05a25552fe4e1a6de22acd3","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.355087182463267,"final_mean_weight":0.07537163283626425,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08677309017387552,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":6.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.497452776719344},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::62f87d662a4656544511db70bf5315b0f72f601a8e087eea1e688fbb79241631","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7786885245901639,"final_mean_weight":0.1313939300163804,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1313939300163804,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"UNITED_TORAH_JUDAISM","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":5.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.656969650081902},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::05e0981f018243dca460a52d71b401f770d7ed2f933822c655162170cec53a98","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.023465053099558264,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-02T17:15:00+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e59cc97cc4e23c6973f28fffc9ab02b0858db0540932b03c3e25964a3bbece88","vote_share_pp":7.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1689483823168195},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::f23bbd872b6158088eb48b6150e65de20fed54d944aca8363cc8564653289eda","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.02037486319089881,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.4647559784536803,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":5.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.11409923386903333},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::711185e232eae8a39343f2aef24f918156391ba580cbb9a9e95ef683d826b272","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.02346760426325425,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.348662438761611,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":7.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.17131351112175602},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::8c466436962642da1f784b467ccd552f77ffb9c78eca0a9bdc1aabbca8271957","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.022367578470363754,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24942909139535746,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":6.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1364422286692189},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::9c90c21ca6eaf4b64aad773c65d7da4e92b6d153206b88c34b8503a28509c143","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.02038239120255034,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.18519767405725712,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":6.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.12433258633555708},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::63664dfd3cf9d216c75175bca4cd9c52a5d61c7b562d14ed208a92a2707484e6","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.022375090855578962,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1689545780406572,"measurement_time":"2026-08-13T14:30:00+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע\"מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d5712d9b55d31d1c05268d070791a9ef349ae9631fe4af3406a2db5f4470aa0c","vote_share_pp":5.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1185879815345685},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::38f95d73897f737e79af8929bd202650de2b22c82f38b33f7a93103c92078604","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.04694926602559599,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.26172807774346085,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":7.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.3615093483970891},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::49cb4b93460f4f04d6d83ba152aa890de36a8a8b90284fd12ba7837c37ced36f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.020397822949651093,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10210159494099279,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":6.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.12238693769790657},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::bfeb7c16957f3ac8b154514c37c413cd91b6c112cca2f25b55d14655ed871309","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02239042133325082,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10078053797923518,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":6.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.15449390719943065},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::38c7b139901bc453039d3bba0a9a7aeed9846ed945e544f18eff1963ac47220b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.022397121549955334,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0915785942058792,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":7.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.15677985084968735},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::9f47321365afec1d97461da38ec7768986e84a0395c09ec057a95a3c2e59d70e","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.022409774441241814,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08393897414530928,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":6.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.15238646620044433},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::5d6699022b39932ab21b2ba4245eca604383aaa5564de729ee202a0fc5ca1cad","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.020421960321881504,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07105788133549536,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":6.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.14091152622098238},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::647a573a0c86f0a056b46ada61737e632693044f9687100c13b03ee7da0b9820","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9702346570397111,"final_mean_weight":0.1064913381017316,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.27035786852157306,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":5.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6070006271798701},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::9fa589af169859bd3b22f535c8128ee127edd7be0fe1ba1c271c48aa61d045f3","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.042996553113389,"final_mean_weight":0.09920524492476684,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.20118869213404325,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":4.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.48610570013135757},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::021376ba7b67981e826a5363ee54e3923fd530c620ed45085ebc53792891b0ef","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.8838333738500184,"final_mean_weight":0.11711778396032652,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.19192925021589918,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":7.49,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.8772122018628457},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::f44ac84541a2a6ff473364b60e404dabc16986560b319a3d4595498dd2ba1569","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.102994555353902,"final_mean_weight":0.09394085768823039,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1334095023123573,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":6.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6106155749734975},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::2a07d6e25cdad35758baa3f4ec22e7610b1d198465594526915f9af20e1b09b7","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.0238285714285713,"final_mean_weight":0.10120469133891793,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.12566409323631172,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":5.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5768667406318323},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::f2554508d8aa9a395239eb3096b26a17816f88f5f949b381f711945a11a35c33","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.0441671722634027,"final_mean_weight":0.09956091801605053,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.11002181632640873,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":5.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.4978045900802527},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::a8c25e1a57a4f58abde5469cf94a72694c37ba0fd81089b2990147665ed1430b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.0953442622950822,"final_mean_weight":0.0950802182661953,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0950802182661953,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"OTZMA_YEHUDIT","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":7.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6845775715166061},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::0f1b050c37eba14085eefc9b8af102e4c5834972b712354f9968019c1dc29122","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7097292418772562,"final_mean_weight":0.16163328835830687,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RZP_AND_ZEHUT","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":4.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6626964822690581},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::29ee66e1494b70c42e25d2a2788dc619808d34742cd7ff2c1314ddec1473b426","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.8800528224181922,"final_mean_weight":0.1304206619172955,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.44656359482287955,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RZP_AND_ZEHUT","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":4.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5347247138609116},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::39d3c2e641323e9ef22482baf5d09e3bd07664ec0f2da3563a2f780a7233b7d1","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7205365563439408,"final_mean_weight":0.15932831467824146,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.35297867694144697,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RZP_AND_ZEHUT","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":6.01,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.9575631712162311},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::0936aba43b1d7ab7400360eb05866f0443424071b5a735cdc9045a27e41e0862","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.8457168784029038,"final_mean_weight":0.1358357011974789,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.23132075145411138,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RZP_AND_ZEHUT","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":4.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6655949358676466},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::ffbb95903e36d74319407f326d80b005fc5958cadee958e1a9b461fb9bb7f30f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9389714285714286,"final_mean_weight":0.12234509133806144,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1724231413215757,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RZP_AND_ZEHUT","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":5.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6361944749579195},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::2073ae1c5e69411dc5f0fe85236b2020248eec4c59e6211f92f8820879daa04a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.8441267245245192,"final_mean_weight":0.1364485340667935,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.16128447343824948,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RZP_AND_ZEHUT","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":4.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.545794136267174},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::08cbc23965b8ba645f1a9d7dfb48a3745ac2ab2fa91a5ad7ae250fbc2195a032","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7491147540983606,"final_mean_weight":0.15398840844382233,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.15398840844382233,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RZP_AND_ZEHUT","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":4.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7391443605303472},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::d97351127713e87e3375eb54f7aa50f57da0e17ea13bf3e1e3ca2bcb0c9c6952","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.014766212537430696,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"WINTER_NEW_PARTY","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":2.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.03691553134357674},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::2c45a0619e05bacf72aa9cd9f87586e1d75dcddc558d912e38ddc6f1a89a0706","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.5760108303249097,"final_mean_weight":0.11775066072023797,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.8885710764642103,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"WINTER_NEW_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":3.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.3885771803767853},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::1abfa4b2cbb22371ad7691ebcf64639f8bbb0aa2fe94be84c5f0f6ee3b73702c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7142441470074757,"final_mean_weight":0.09503169467442836,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.41763257636842993,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"WINTER_NEW_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":3.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.31360459242561356},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::03a0874e96e7cdaeee4ca92a2c8a240925d77554ed0ec995679ed92dbfffec6c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.30485495345968405,"final_mean_weight":0.22271298589945615,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.49463025213735007,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"WINTER_NEW_PARTY","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":2.45,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5456468154536676},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::9e24dc0c7efdcb3fa2bcf88441e4e50a1120b4dc1a1ab578e25fffd40a7eeb69","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.6313084112149534,"final_mean_weight":0.1076073050313995,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.19288996566455516,"measurement_time":"2026-09-16","party_id":"WINTER_NEW_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Maagar Mochot / Yitzhak Katz","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4151_MAAGAR_CHANNEL16","vote_share_pp":3.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.37662556760989824},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::23c20bdc9857cbad9979918a58999dd8acddeb695a43d6ac568ee6a7ff5820ed","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.5791470054446461,"final_mean_weight":0.11738086329419148,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.17383326411332398,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"WINTER_NEW_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":3.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.3873568488708319},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::6f3ad7d580e2c0a16168dd185a2c00aabb139fb70d26cd12bd0f5d1f703a5944","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.6786857142857144,"final_mean_weight":0.100165325484838,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.12917640145034362,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"WINTER_NEW_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":3.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.3706117042939006},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::30067cdad986b4b1cbc09b824706dd7e6368fd3b309400be6d1e26bb6af612df","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7014824975599462,"final_mean_weight":0.09737954694940826,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.11157212424648172,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"WINTER_NEW_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":3.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.32135250493304723},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::383bd3adb713ce2034b856ed7401b73fbfed7d4fc1a69d28e2505a253eb82295","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.5384262295081967,"final_mean_weight":0.12720540540860953,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.12720540540860953,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"WINTER_NEW_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":3.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.4324983783892724},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::58d88647544650a4b082c67071226e751b1c2c498ae0df77e393786639b914df","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.16530407894771232,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::HAREDI_PUBLIC","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":0.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1487736710529411},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::266efdf6ce290eccbd59030704dc3f1417cad75ac23b687a7e2af71b61da14c1","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.16566603056113566,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.5005468040814327,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::HAREDI_PUBLIC","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":0.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.033133206112227136},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::5e40634fdfc37cf3dd0f796b6b845360e574b6978aff4361d4df3aa65e4df391","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.16582857914282814,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.3337943173579846,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::HAREDI_PUBLIC","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":0.52,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.08623086115427063},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::5770955e1adc236a27ef44739fcd0eca7b2da7c89de81115f2d756032c66c400","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.16631656231657668,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.25081094436257995,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::HAREDI_PUBLIC","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":0.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.13305324985326136},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::300a5844e94d31ee3ed628ad92d1c98911cf2011c9974f5e962207f2cb633178","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.16794493358707455,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.20208516387647218,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::HAREDI_PUBLIC","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":0.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.05038348007612236},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::f9f695620dd9c2bbcfdef6e78747d3df5f4485345bf53a76fd26d193a25e8ef8","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.16893981544467268,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.16893981544467268,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::HAREDI_PUBLIC","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":0.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.15204583390020543},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::c672397840d425c03cd6a0d674c5a98171f98467e3c7005c6c0fad8bc509f446","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.03059110495103728,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-02T17:15:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e59cc97cc4e23c6973f28fffc9ab02b0858db0540932b03c3e25964a3bbece88","vote_share_pp":10.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.32120660198589146},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::31d6cc1f989fb0a0c31846f7e7c3af05565a10e75081491035d5393fb1e53a8c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.02656180145586073,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.4647497935932596,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":11.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.2974921763056402},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::a7b44d9a52af0819668ecce05b89b9823c6b2bfd763dc09fe0503d90eeef1e32","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.030591105460426104,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.3486403779517431,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":10.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.32426571788051667},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::2b8aa6bd0380df735e48c8b5788c78092ab1930944deb92060ef37d70021dcf4","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.029151728883002926,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24938230166372732,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":9.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.28860211594172896},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::3b459b62646254f1a74b6fa28f9c4d61a68df3ab02bcbb1abb8e08026571821e","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.02656180295890445,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.18515445247509282,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":11.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.3054607340274012},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::9e4cd401cad01bfe5a6173f742f7110029754bb3e0b8caca2ad24b1f56acfc83","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.029151730382790546,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.16888855211365453,"measurement_time":"2026-08-13T14:30:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע\"מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d5712d9b55d31d1c05268d070791a9ef349ae9631fe4af3406a2db5f4470aa0c","vote_share_pp":6.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.17491038229674327},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::4f0b70918115d3411ddd590fdc6cc81adf914b6e63ad9f4ee3593b5097a584de","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.0611458446185529,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.2615807728867787,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":10.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.654260537418516},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::f3a2489237875bbc13241102c34c9338d7ef33b9396503054ad73af7059dc6f0","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.0265618060393927,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1020364160528752,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":11.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.2921798664333197},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::d39c6b3e841cc1d022683e406922b463cc84540aae386ac80735016fad885416","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.029151733442774056,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.100707736805701,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":10.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.3119235478376824},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::0842dbde65dca1f843aeaf2beb488cb5c217c11bcde3550992ffe6b2143d3e48","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.029151734779819447,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.09149362508736196,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":10.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.29734769475415834},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::3cb9610755749b7a7355d08a2726828f8f99fea0246abd5c3535146466343d7a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.029151737304500134,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08382424802492278,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":10.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.31192358915815144},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::b9db7eb162ebe2f5fe0bc5b82c4e3fbb913a0e36279a4aae58a868b2cd53a7ac","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.026561810855769405,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07095752732276037,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":11.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.310773187012502},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::3da30cd6ea8180000555e7b3f0fa5268e01d191657efb646b0853ba3a57d215f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.5810649819494584,"final_mean_weight":0.0846645162980189,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1844549037744294,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":9.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.8212458080907832},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::a532dc8ffcdf9537777b06b7583885edb1e43ad170a97646549906c923057cc8","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.138658847755047,"final_mean_weight":0.06259068794026817,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.11999998177825205,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":10.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6697203609608694},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::4f40695b0ffd1bebbb795350680f3478722d9bd3a0884b8ad1d24c7d1ed361cc","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.8910236524164246,"final_mean_weight":0.15023185408384332,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.22361887199972064,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":7.38,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.1087110831387637},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::eb37045622d1038f76204cd34dd2b160ffe33c1d52bec5bbf65ded62b4404761","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.705535390199637,"final_mean_weight":0.07848570811349309,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1046048333592066,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":10.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.8240999351916775},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::d70d99872a28925de9721105e58d212ad941aa42ac4c193857af02924e780d87","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.3052190476190477,"final_mean_weight":0.10255761518085878,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.12025079774735062,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":7.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.758926352338355},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::410e8312e1afe1b817ff578d8658603b5325273b8659d2be6c60325bc2932af4","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.100446683725061,"final_mean_weight":0.0637294006639674,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.06952851523644205,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":10.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6819045871044511},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::9eb38a9dee685fa1a6d4aedd93760904dc5e414ac1f85601e3e97c95372a0a0a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.6049180327868853,"final_mean_weight":0.08340627658671985,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08340627658671985,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::BEYAHAD_BENNETT","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":11.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.9174690424539184},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::9adf83dfaa1cbc7c06da089776c5579b3ade59a4074456b17089c03013f8f790","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.04050681551129425,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-02T17:15:00+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e59cc97cc4e23c6973f28fffc9ab02b0858db0540932b03c3e25964a3bbece88","vote_share_pp":18.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7412747238566848},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::d34a1d7e24b28ad377de544d8d7eb0f841d5da1ceab1791726157b02a608e75b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.03517233994058745,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.4647559784536803,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":18.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6577227568889853},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::98cbb7a7164845be1ede9340a593c4d6786c282894e4db9671fc7711ac82b0b8","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.04051121948671823,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.348662438761611,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":17.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7251508288122562},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::b714695b63532457c549ba8583dc438e7f8d5c5894eb82a381307669b4d8fadd","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.03861228741691952,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24942909139535746,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":17.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6795762585377836},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::21ce7ff0564aee0e1f77e1884ef8c52f4d20d085a659ba27f6c248ba7f7c0d78","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.03518533525655121,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.18519767405725712,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":18.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6509287022461974},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::16a4ed228e2dee76b509a889a84db18375b5266ff0c19162b95c1a0e76d1e681","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.03862525575756938,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1689545780406572,"measurement_time":"2026-08-13T14:30:00+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע\"מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d5712d9b55d31d1c05268d070791a9ef349ae9631fe4af3406a2db5f4470aa0c","vote_share_pp":17.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6798045013332211},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::6cf2d5e3eba6c8e9dc7654d5ad68f5edd097799228b6e5a61417bee169740684","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.08104670589154953,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.26172807774346085,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":17.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.4345266942804265},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::3c416be8cde1bb652f0d061ffaaf7fe940bd5eb2ea0862d967a5b2e978da39cb","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.03521197448596933,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10210159494099279,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":17.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6302943432988509},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::8be12b3d1989912c99f5252b081a910c06b360606771d4ceabfbca15c76deff8","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.038651720169480965,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10078053797923518,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":18.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7111916511184497},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::2978f13076379e4ae7f43bf61c0fcae0c7dbd5fb5804db7be74d60d1971352ca","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.038663286494977175,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0915785942058792,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":18.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6959391569095892},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::c4e45157931263c10644e22362bda1196c76ab5c9f464868d85ca479595a5a76","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.03868512869285551,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08393897414530928,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":18.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7079378550792558},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::8be0b748b94e31a5b4a1f4227679eb864a58b44d349362c82c2a78c4e215fe59","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.03525364190004744,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07105788133549536,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":18.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6592431035308871},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::7152b5bdb2920458ece85b93ff72d816fd88dbdceb57344f8bd3f818fcde90cc","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.822454873646209,"final_mean_weight":0.06319323980846688,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1129824757709597,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":19.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.2259488522842572},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::3c2cafff686f7596b6ca58f9eb1ef95eacc09c3e5c5814ab9a17520223f437c3","effective_observation_variance_pp2":3.430748914454541,"final_mean_weight":0.05205039809761928,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08513740211276119,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":18.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.9837525240450042},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::4025289a13768e6fb04142770c139c8c739e0b4dfe2e1c2b15fe1a07097a16d5","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.4876689577443845,"final_mean_weight":0.12006956805149391,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.16415529071133,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":13.48,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.6185377773341378},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::95bd2ed09b613a37467711bff90f6403405957c8d3a72b59115973ce5629abeb","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.6554627949183303,"final_mean_weight":0.06731331684376694,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08427308744168989,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":17.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.1981770398190517},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::c6a7418574fcabc7d237412ccf2874180cad010aad7f666542da58180c84286b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.687619047619048,"final_mean_weight":0.0665079407885298,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07686467347200669,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":17.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.1306349934050066},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::ebbc7f8a1c062888ba447b4bca3253dbeb679db004f07998b708cd8f94da5d90","effective_observation_variance_pp2":3.3831016381334247,"final_mean_weight":0.05294414765400819,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.057660529765710504,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":19.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.0059388054261555},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::837775229728719901167d3e947bd2f00e1ffa4f5ff80ace12a2a3c52cec883a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1921147540983608,"final_mean_weight":0.08179567775159514,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08179567775159514,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"YASHAR_GADI_EISENKOT","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":15.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.3005512762503628},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::2464164a7fcfbfb51ebd772e067a0aa01d57a0bae0564f4c8e3e4511bde78dff","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.02452043076964996,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-02T17:15:00+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e59cc97cc4e23c6973f28fffc9ab02b0858db0540932b03c3e25964a3bbece88","vote_share_pp":7.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.17654710154147973},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::3e7d046ae0973d221dc764376019c0293869df652c7993c5f8c078495216d997","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.021291254709452537,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.4647559784536803,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":7.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.15329703390805827},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::52fdf8fa8509add063e4d85145655a7aadd22f46a3a38931559ede3b156c62df","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.02452309667594577,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.348662438761611,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":7.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.17901860573440412},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::37241c9323da61d9d376be360afeb5cd66bd6c17d84b603123d0e70e288817fa","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02337359549284772,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24942909139535746,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":7.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.17763932574564267},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::f87944c35cc9a9b93c121100fb11386d6d613d5efa1ee5357353260bf71222b5","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.021299121305268506,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.18519767405725712,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":7.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.16613314618109434},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::05c46c5d24a1fc787c22eefe1a62137875c541a68d30dfb161e8c300c5828c53","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02338144575940382,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1689545780406572,"measurement_time":"2026-08-13T14:30:00+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע\"מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d5712d9b55d31d1c05268d070791a9ef349ae9631fe4af3406a2db5f4470aa0c","vote_share_pp":6.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.16133197573988636},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::c3fed5de3de20aff87c1e9b880ef6052050f10fbf54f12374202df25bdfc107b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.049060883109110776,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.26172807774346085,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":7.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.377768799940153},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::114c0fc87dd51cd7109bced1d88d336463673077d97f2d2246438cbb3041411b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.021315247119466894,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10210159494099279,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":7.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.16199587810794838},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::bc966ae9a0952eb402972bd32a75cb70ad5a70ed845669b4b0799a9b39e5f72d","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02339746574942146,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10078053797923518,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":7.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.16378226024595022},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::227e1aaea808fea0ebd16f43c1421f093f7091636344aedcae9b71bd4aa77186","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.023404467318910674,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0915785942058792,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":7.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.18255484508750325},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::d83367f3a0c5210683f5b61d2850345dd916186e39e767e9c790c46619dcd991","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.023417689293883825,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08393897414530928,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":6.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.15924028719841002},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::e227362b35b790c90b7ecc6fa28b8c808f952e7c613e23c3e101a443cdc86349","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.021340470107977755,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07105788133549536,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":7.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.14938329075584428},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::8517eb1e2c52f79c264821595b1a17e2a89003a9562bcf7d2038fc9a64bcf7e5","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9702346570397111,"final_mean_weight":0.11128095352744177,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.27035786852157306,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":5.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6343014351064181},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::5d07a8023d9587e66e4bcdfb29eae5fbd5b3c6397f9e82cd1915fb9ce8caf18f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.340794126863333,"final_mean_weight":0.0806421247671279,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.16382409784210186,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":6.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5161095985096186},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::460818c70062981a72b60fffdc3b9d420abf53009d9d7f0850fcd01f4b228a61","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7295062737373382,"final_mean_weight":0.14827328678250842,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.23148837199347327,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":6.09,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.9029843165054763},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::527ae5d935e17e38d4d37907a82cf556c349779271e32649146671b818ea7447","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.102994555353902,"final_mean_weight":0.0981646635188013,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.13289088661654366,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":6.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6380703128722085},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::0f7624bc4fa155e063de4a818ce9ffa4c192ecad1b6002fe20d05ee5522a5349","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.1410285714285713,"final_mean_weight":0.09489253126573761,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.11383751547520587,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":6.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6073122001007207},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::1e2f57eee361d519f566c19736f242363be598c49487ed3248e6e22d25824fbf","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.4875755097734047,"final_mean_weight":0.07302423281309756,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08054709285988448,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":7.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5330768995356121},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::ad130d78b2c6c60b5e27617d528e65580b5c244b952b0550d853068f2258efaa","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.1650983606557377,"final_mean_weight":0.0933970399139458,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0933970399139458,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"YISRAEL_BEITEINU","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":7.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7191572073373826},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::c2d92aa329e67c573e23e13a97ea5915f3670612da6583a239b4e832beee0add","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.027163759079830565,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-02T17:15:00+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e59cc97cc4e23c6973f28fffc9ab02b0858db0540932b03c3e25964a3bbece88","vote_share_pp":6.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.17384805811091564},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::cc926bf42ed701dc162279de6bfe056cc098f3db7fd3314d33d1f8670ad7cf8e","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.023586474433015547,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.4647559784536803,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":8.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.18869179546412437},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::9051feb76a054266b76f06d71b1eaeaff3e8e95bbe765c11d24a61957a540ae1","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.027166712373638047,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.348662438761611,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":8.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.22005037022646817},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::ab455c0813798424afbb10d858d91e4b9e3544e2f9fed5387b6f23230582a548","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02589329375008336,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24942909139535746,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":7.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.19678903250063354},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::72db683c346c2f87057af28e38b4aaabd21d5e4d6b302e1db5edf8bfa0895b6e","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.023595189056161068,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.18519767405725712,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":8.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.2005591069773691},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::961421fbc9c0e3873e89328c54de7bcb182fe72c672e7558b3e7575bcc27f1b8","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.025901990283657566,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1689545780406572,"measurement_time":"2026-08-13T14:30:00+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע\"מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d5712d9b55d31d1c05268d070791a9ef349ae9631fe4af3406a2db5f4470aa0c","vote_share_pp":7.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.1968551261557975},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::45a32735ae1230ab2ef598f412d4048a7397334b0bad0d85d5df4654dc6c4451","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.05434969807582374,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.26172807774346085,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":7.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.4184926751838428},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::18795a601330a683e7a9e77987f618db43efd848b71f489f2a00dd417a41cf2e","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.023613053250145514,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10210159494099279,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":8.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.19362703665119319},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::0536f40afd34eb6d466596d8378873fd4a3aea13d382b31d50037b91dab4ef98","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.025919737245502915,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10078053797923518,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":7.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.19958197679037246},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::1ef8a93d726084d3c718b934a168c97a127e745aee50dff087b79152fdf13c5f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.025927493591570906,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0915785942058792,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":7.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.20223445001425305},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::5ab9e13b889c96e0e69add3e5131c068d0e0553a61e80ca61b3cf4fd1fe0d85b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.025942140909397598,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08393897414530928,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":7.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.19716027091142174},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::e0812b1f0454f078819a848eb8215db8b66cda18c5c669c9c4ee8f6bf4b4ec2a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.023640995303432374,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07105788133549536,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":8.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.19858436054883197},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::b4eb0344b81b047432f493380d3b7cb3b455ad46f7eb1a6871d05f951d22b1fa","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.2060649819494587,"final_mean_weight":0.09917191249960979,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.22963241237922322,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":7.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7140377699971905},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::d52a2ac25b0a3983222e5427b67489587e5a45ee6bfd70514fdf3149a5a967a1","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.684856081292806,"final_mean_weight":0.07108695826552332,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.14133736663085025,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":8.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5829130577772912},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::3aca3d24c0d3492f000f4c2a972042319cf493bd4fd63c07d73d5b624ebd57bb","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.8227025558558355,"final_mean_weight":0.145634662769979,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.22453899797562057,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":6.93,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.0092482129959544},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::de959c91b9fd0c4c5851d809eef3c550a254ceca3216e8bd60eee1a77d9781d9","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.2126315789473685,"final_mean_weight":0.09889580560774815,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.13230387289184092,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":7.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7120498003757867},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::5a0bac73991797795c42ecdec1c4951606d1778ae41d4a789f87696c18224e59","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.401904761904762,"final_mean_weight":0.08554374031974556,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10268942164282065,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":8.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6843499225579645},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::24582e6b844c5f41460d75e6cad4c844a5200b571e5535ed7c634555153b0322","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.506326553940577,"final_mean_weight":0.07984850036557528,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0874685776649872,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":7.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.5908789027052571},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::e2bb9f4c40b49f7898822d61da4fea793963ce76ddc7672f99d7c2044374d998","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.3828032786885247,"final_mean_weight":0.08711788281955969,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08711788281955969,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"THE_DEMOCRATS","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":9.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.8101963102219052},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::b825f1ce4e74f304c354d7865c51189f5a5106c737eea2ab54a90feae311ae8f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.01752203579700455,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-02T17:15:00+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e59cc97cc4e23c6973f28fffc9ab02b0858db0540932b03c3e25964a3bbece88","vote_share_pp":4.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0700881431880182},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::3a27633fa75c06efddb6c0562aa31d3ece307449d2f0105858193a716f7da230","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.01521450135549534,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.4647559784536803,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":3.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.05933655528643182},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::4c9410ebb2591372c4b40ab8964e7bf26b22f873a41c9e23c313521e1583d2cf","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.0175239408249376,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.348662438761611,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":4.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.08586731004219424},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::337db860a08e6b9c21dd002106ce12390fd597861acf5f7edaf9f27b5bcbe243","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.016702519657089552,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.24942909139535746,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":4.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.07683159042261194},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::6c3b8dde5d832244539c54496ac2a5c8543ee0f9b5dd1c47aa7f16185075b2a4","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.015220122740159537,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.18519767405725712,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":3.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.059358478686622196},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::d88dd325fbc43188f7fe83e76756650f6dbd5d5f0ec741a319282221c29beaf3","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.016708129373040476,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1689545780406572,"measurement_time":"2026-08-13T14:30:00+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע\"מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d5712d9b55d31d1c05268d070791a9ef349ae9631fe4af3406a2db5f4470aa0c","vote_share_pp":4.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0668325174921619},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::77ee4ed453ed66034c2bac496b0b777a9d9b2581c835dc3b3ef79868db8a39b9","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.03505837879220776,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.26172807774346085,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":3.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.13672767728961024},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::12e16c518c98ae957a3b6c42f4323526707cbb098ec2234f8def7593be171232","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.015231646073346232,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10210159494099279,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":3.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.05635709047138106},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::b41d018cb6cecd54cc31b7d6714ec9307c4b93ee4dea2bae662571f8905df4f1","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.016719577085407104,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10078053797923518,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":3.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.06353439292454699},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::52a659fd1242bfa80634426f1739db5e10af1aaa2f9f8ef6604c910162f82109","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.016724580331572626,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0915785942058792,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":3.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.06522586329313323},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::741bb95639ebcc3767e14d7f933bb09e77c36ff227eea2611db68ed12ddb6eb0","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.016734028612516917,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08393897414530928,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":3.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.06358930872756428},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::fdcfaa21331aa2af5af087c323ee5547966a00f735d47d63e9c226d9816d55c3","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.015249670149340111,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07105788133549536,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":3.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.050323911492822365},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::81dceff1e631e4da71fb035ade65b40bd001a2ba4408a9501c3301a6f2b5c983","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7097292418772562,"final_mean_weight":0.10870797118324262,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.3362270987803396,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":4.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.4457026818512947},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::17ab5c0bce758516cfe09e52d01d123c31730ee33c1d99e05a6fb88a7a16cf0c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7142441470074757,"final_mean_weight":0.10819220046115989,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.25072970582615917,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":3.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.3570342615218276},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::acc700145f7adf3dfcc443644f0f86042187b71dacddfcca2002782fcc5dd9d9","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.5038777012453426,"final_mean_weight":0.1534346389447097,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.26230657006619135,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":4.12,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.632150712452204},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::6a431b40dd572aa6d00cc659fca723753488dceb3e3bf4aadf01a8aadb11e093","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.6969147005444646,"final_mean_weight":0.11107765321422634,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1595893777962266,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":4.0,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.4443106128569054},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::45b6a0a91513990cf0dace65203ee53ff56f8ea8d5b2b36c1924299ea1336ec4","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7664,"final_mean_weight":0.10100684946108357,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1267292907979559,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":4.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.424228767736551},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::2709a6ce0733bd6faa6b9a775473d123c187b7e268a5a6173aa14ffed004645a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.8643286114994678,"final_mean_weight":0.08995432829550137,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10141609408823864,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":4.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.3688127460115556},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::4d384e2a24e843a5d2c8ed7f6b8aa626a4182c0e077ac484185a29ed2e5c2173","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.6895737704918034,"final_mean_weight":0.11301722764795873,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.11301722764795873,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"RAAM","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":4.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.4972758016510184},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::2d7cddee46976bf59a0b09c299c5f126c131ec8d8611b639c7014b51b58c3b8c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02760183271545509,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":6.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.17113136283582156},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::3e6e108e4aa3a024eba1648f61ac60071ce37e996701a3305e2f9211b78d461a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.02760326071957901,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.5000129336265466,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":5.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.14629728181376875},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::de8006861751e49fa99bbd53f1c1771cdc8dace62e9d66ed04555052366c16d6","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.025151553558483968,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.31299904238802806,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":5.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.13330323385996504},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::ec7db8d107392422c11043c468261359889eac408eb9b94afaf9d43a8a61c794","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9702346570397111,"final_mean_weight":0.13075787765951213,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.6193694056551278,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":5.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7453199026592192},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::22d7a84fe701a380e20759984a968e238567d15b249feed3a428a162b82b5722","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.3797394690899323,"final_mean_weight":0.09200705154249775,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.30353184585959264,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":6.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6072465401804851},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::1b17490fb9acd9f75e0a62547e2a424acc240724e18847d4acf4699c0ba16e6d","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7306263404101401,"final_mean_weight":0.1737844599093691,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.3643997910547408,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":6.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":1.0600852054471515},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::2b83acd663adc75a775a5c9ffe31e078af4f035ed1c39b01a60e11dd7079a92c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9594192377495461,"final_mean_weight":0.13242647670336424,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.21733039665492934,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":5.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7415882695388397},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::9e9a225bf0ba96c4dc718cfc7c424a8883035c9065abda0b0c5b28925286e343","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.9730285714285716,"final_mean_weight":0.1305742843193854,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.17647396243186436,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":5.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.7051011353246812},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::3dbd23876106457fb79c8a996d66ee1865a1e99cacea1a21bef63e86b8eb4997","effective_observation_variance_pp2":1.1815795721332665,"final_mean_weight":0.1077935895685739,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.12716000990477608,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":5.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.6144234605408713},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::548c423f905673c1b6b23e2c40da7e9e7852f38c5e2add4d7836c5015b5f5c13","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.8374426229508198,"final_mean_weight":0.15229961330377953,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.15229961330377953,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"HADASH_TAAL_BALAD","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":5.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.8224179118404095},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::92493359c1aeb2ed5edb4e3d63e687da37f02b2c69b72a7faf1f265bedd6d84c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.02892859560976207,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-01-01T23:59:59+02:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"שלמה פילבר","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e3855b61729c6cf3404ac657f8b18f7130982b9e1609a0609e6a7110d5cedce8","vote_share_pp":0.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.02603573604878586},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::590a4afe23da055d356e03783f7e72f91184654be9e0c50192f9124d8d2ff27f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.27280632411067185,"final_mean_weight":0.018400092833234405,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.38877250645548345,"measurement_time":"2026-01-08T23:59:59+02:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"שלמה פילבר","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d7e5ca0123a28d4dc3e1f5ce8ebe9c1d88c80aadb89f6aba374865e74d29a796","vote_share_pp":1.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.025760129966528166},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::4ddc79063d2de3cbf2e93197d5c9bf5ccf637b2b71aba26ea60e7e704f1bc329","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.200771484375,"final_mean_weight":0.025842723857139965,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.35318060762771114,"measurement_time":"2026-02-19T23:59:59+02:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"שלמה פילבר","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::92d0bc677bd8220941276faca5d7a32f55d3697b30c4a0c9ab9a7f732c572770","vote_share_pp":2.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.05426972009999393},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::0f3770e9fdc74bc126c508fe43ca9f293bf77a7a5fdd171f3a66851c1383c953","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.030507426144309634,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.29424930489220646,"measurement_time":"2026-03-05T23:59:59+02:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"שלמה פילבר","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::0162e879105d1889135e5b07525fd0c4421510e149bd6ac26774054ecf1ac191","vote_share_pp":1.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.039659653987602524},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::8eeb8d36a90b4663fa7d8904183d7c205f9e3123d62ec31edb5282141e5137af","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.18586750788643536,"final_mean_weight":0.030039132759633283,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.2246454421132952,"measurement_time":"2026-04-09T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"שלמה פילבר","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::f0ac08d1c131a56711c01b2403b0e56cfd7495edbcad9b8226dd08d858c7aab5","vote_share_pp":1.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.05407043896733991},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::2c99f0696c7246941576389af364e72a5c63c082d472771190b90c40e8568070","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.23201565557729942,"final_mean_weight":0.02440694594863596,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.1543523082137903,"measurement_time":"2026-04-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"שלמה פילבר","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::35c5d11efeb35e4d0c3bf654a8158828d8125a3691a8c50db6f3f0ba50f55b85","vote_share_pp":1.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.029288335138363153},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::d58c33b1f3dc5c089df44b92b68c2f6450eb478a70165b53c9eef250210e32d5","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.033290813494124126,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.17391890092641038,"measurement_time":"2026-04-23T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"שלמה פילבר","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::0f4ab39fa15736f1b01fd41b4d229092e3c8fc991f549cfb549e83f8d25ca551","vote_share_pp":1.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.03994897619294895},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::c46b036841d3f4b2925baab5f8dc36fe48873bc60df15940f3a2a344041b98cd","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.2451595006934813,"final_mean_weight":0.02441019024469681,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.11310129081744631,"measurement_time":"2026-05-07T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"NEXT DATA","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::d98ca68095fe9e6d88c1a6357ca6fb8f561ff979de2802e2a63796ce98da0d23","vote_share_pp":1.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.04393834244045426},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_M01A_COORD::a0b373e969d510e07856066696b3edd9a60743984b581affc7d63a715104d4cd","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.19278048780487805,"final_mean_weight":0.03295600564871847,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.13246945269308363,"measurement_time":"2026-05-28","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"שלמה פילבר","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::WIKIPEDIA_ROW095_FILBER_20260528","vote_share_pp":1.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.039547206778462164},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_M01A_COORD::7fa6983d7060caa41b548c84c8a67747df5d921b8e03a7877ab7de14c156c32f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.813098708871303,"final_mean_weight":0.0013463356101612765,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0053825809150333075,"measurement_time":"2026-06-03","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"דיירקט פולס בע״מ בראשות צוריאל שרון","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::WIKIPEDIA_ROW097_I24_20260603","vote_share_pp":1.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0018848698542257868},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::f28dd81e7d95ff8ad9b132aee29a3a615f1dab09ee4661a4ee9afa1b3433917f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.24163841807909606,"final_mean_weight":0.026981952736756423,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.09736902967558357,"measurement_time":"2026-06-04T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"שלמה פילבר","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c245996093af2bdcd0e6bed8b80de8ea3b2133f842823e25daf1485773305c06","vote_share_pp":1.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.03507653855778335},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::4d3df91a434de96556f189f5947fd945b89a51c92c811fde76f77e72d7dd36aa","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.03865627044961986,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.12242043486150728,"measurement_time":"2026-06-11T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"NEXT DATA","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::e65ce3e0be7aded5a29c8a4d6aa0662a18f66bf64b37e32f3103a5c4646f0764","vote_share_pp":0.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.03092501635969589},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::73717f3c4a0b1c81773fe5b9f49f548eb35b61f5ec293836d434c04af7f59024","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.03974184207690611,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.11178877964976405,"measurement_time":"2026-06-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"NEXT DATA","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::2f0908483e99b53210e8816caa3f69304c86ca5c4dcb3985bca2bc4825c12072","vote_share_pp":1.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.071535315738431},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::c0f1312c2f82d3b7386c2bfb9673e3821c100774e8fda99dc84ac6ab8f583ac8","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.2702752293577982,"final_mean_weight":0.02620916332489841,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.06866115376108518,"measurement_time":"2026-06-25T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"NEXT DATA","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::06dae828e052b75de36d6794e3b6db7eca95f107ec28afbb53d0f9380acd4cd8","vote_share_pp":1.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.04717649398481714},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::05c325dceaa3bc173766b736c53e05436f0e808b89f3659135e3ce00ffe0d8ba","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.04677567471753765,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.10916317572473899,"measurement_time":"2026-07-26T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"NEXT DATA","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::7f4b8a4887d17b32e89fe5cc8f8ec2ac52a24e2a8030c685618c170d1dbc193d","vote_share_pp":0.9,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.04209810724578389},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::244a72b4a111d5e6617e7057abcf482fc2a63ae900b69765dec4af4f7369fbbd","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.28782449725776965,"final_mean_weight":0.02911423517801519,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.06362273673386588,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"פרופ' יצחק כ\"ץ ,\nמאגר מוחו ת בע\" מ","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::607154ad66962741fda0f62e35b4515f470c5e5a6a29e2fd6e41699653b46aff","vote_share_pp":1.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.04658277628482431},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::db2658c4dcd0b92ebaff2293a3567274444c065f1bc75b9e1bde5c4d7469e8ea","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.0016627996725354724,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0036205259375093604,"measurement_time":"2026-08-03T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::bddf4f6a2d18676925b3b55ef60826bc10b432407d43e09cb2c249831177627d","vote_share_pp":1.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0023279195415496614},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::733361a020e2ae6e2fc509b10eed95372f4ccfc26552709d3219e4f3aeeb7367","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.375780924614744,"final_mean_weight":0.0019356520708835743,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.004196937356508091,"measurement_time":"2026-08-06T07:30:00+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::73be4e2b3a0c4834b3ac4c005e47d882364decf2283ee7d79a48c0b4d2061c09","vote_share_pp":0.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.001354956449618502},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::df15ddb19043d7f7506e05d292dd5fe0722d18f883ac5b2a1a2037b983d32272","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.0018731871947543373,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0040450701385325505,"measurement_time":"2026-08-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::95f3934064f3ebae9b4b4ba0dcc27fc8033c98b6f7b8124fc6ede35ebd2e6579","vote_share_pp":1.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0024351433531806387},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::71d753155c81d5b31eb9c96eb3225fbe4dc297d8df9920efa4ca0bf693f7c75a","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.0017171728103627026,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.003694463863119615,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::47f16a386de08285eb29ef629869769cf3064380a5317a0909a48de00a6bfb34","vote_share_pp":0.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.001373738248290162},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::0aca0690adc67dab062a0df2b690d3dfd4df87c226ff2299354eaca9a105e0f9","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.3904900181488204,"final_mean_weight":0.022161404296455245,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.045509924349448096,"measurement_time":"2026-08-10T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"פרופ' יצחק כ\"ץ ,\nמאגר מוחו ת בע\" מ","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::75237229ce87068fa3348ecab260b0825f1ebcb62c749b9ae5dc019ff46fcb42","vote_share_pp":2.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.04875508945220154},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::38860ec31bd58cee646683c0f87db763345ee58e04b8e20b5bfeb56ebeb9e869","effective_observation_variance_pp2":2.1891920033319447,"final_mean_weight":0.004066315442465321,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.008281297868508503,"measurement_time":"2026-08-16T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::3628b882a5bd5cd459b4c6fea804402e97e7d7dace7eb6b7f758f79aff013a5a","vote_share_pp":1.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.00569284161945145},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::a516f58d9d1c7580349f539808f724700f24e04955e31c8d0e1b359255c51482","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.0017746856450872102,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.003601239088554835,"measurement_time":"2026-08-17T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"מדגם יעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::872b7c311ab90f967d5c7177404656094f6c311322b3fb217b60b78985d06005","vote_share_pp":1.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0024845599031220944},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::45fd7c6152433d35b42bf9193669c30eac598023beb4c7cad6e566e847ed9ebf","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.001956842081330907,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.003955170261146783,"measurement_time":"2026-08-18T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::36f6193635878b784758bf1bf8deaf1c5ede4580480d7bf40f413a175858d947","vote_share_pp":1.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0027395789138632697},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::22b89d39e3ab2ab134b9100998c18d171d80c773bb75cf07d19b0a2974993b61","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.21517241379310345,"final_mean_weight":0.04195481101224718,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07817031514041921,"measurement_time":"2026-08-19T23:59:59+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"פרופ' יצחק כ\"ץ,\nמאגר מוחות בע\"מ","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::ea3c4974ad8a3686c1f94cc14a45cf224f6f0e0b9a80768c160dad4a75c6f4e1","vote_share_pp":1.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.05034577321469661},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::c9ec6a4881302145ce57412c7ecbc75deaac57a2598ede5d738b055cc9df0089","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.0019722522439464397,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0036612515894911845,"measurement_time":"2026-08-20T15:08:00+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::4fbe77d9ef4e476dbda96fd388ef5e6524591595e492eea64b69d7f12ef72133","vote_share_pp":2.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0041417297122875235},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_COORD::8b23f0aa9e0ab902d82201c019ea90ceaeb727e987aaacb494c4f0e2b7f1ab5c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":4.591836734693877,"final_mean_weight":0.002000121439170165,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.003699252157167515,"measurement_time":"2026-08-23T10:16:00+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"קאנטר ישרא ל , אריאל שרון 4 גבעתיים","survey_budget_id":"K26_ALL_POLL_BUDGET::c222bc4759ec79450189652e254a863c543148584f0fcffd52c5b6fd46edc29d","vote_share_pp":1.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0036002185905062976},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_N12_PDF_COORD::4bb40c1d7eb6fc7d4dfb84239a628e3810109d4d1f5103f64ccdb2ab190896fd","effective_observation_variance_pp2":5.039566847147023,"final_mean_weight":0.0018287775914167463,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.0033709476276470476,"measurement_time":"2026-08-24","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע","survey_budget_id":"K26_ADM00_PARSED_PRIMARY::N12_MIDGAM_20260824","vote_share_pp":0.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.0007315110365666986},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::a894c594ba9d6a2ac8c71e58ddd6a836af317c66f514bd88024d99072d3b872d","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.0576815516906003,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.09610500989866592,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T14:00:00+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"cec_4138","vote_share_pp":1.1,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.06344970685966034},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_PHASE6_CURRENT::8c54153cbb76fc0a7af3a5d181f413301f94eaafff4f4d0c9eb66e4c98299f8c","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.057706115972448575,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08771271592757389,"measurement_time":"2026-09-09T16:00:00+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"cec_4137","vote_share_pp":0.8,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.04616489277795886},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::a5fb5fb29274814613d51857f0ab9a4fc6f549b81fdb5ee3360a6b5220e885dc","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.059146658991943005,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.08248659041876832,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":0.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.029573329495971502},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::ea3ea3837705ab8ca3e9adccdee41694959573c00661d3719502ff25b9b9391b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.40465976925899094,"final_mean_weight":0.025425817355015912,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.034244836454864085,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":3.28,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.08339668092445218},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::3cc4ecce0fa0d2f1de3dd82495d9a377c89c544ad1238e61aed6d236d407dd55","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.0598634683432476,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.07461155972260917,"measurement_time":"2026-09-16","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"Maagar Mochot / Yitzhak Katz","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4151_MAAGAR_CHANNEL16","vote_share_pp":0.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.04190442784027332},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::37d3972d546eb0fd7325588a29338059b82fc10f0a3890286c3cfc7015fbfd04","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.21517241379310345,"final_mean_weight":0.048426294847577725,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.05692112837967607,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":1.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.058111553817093264},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::a88670f74d53585843fbb89b4de7dcca4b304cca1dbe52939ca74c2c8079fc9b","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.1729245283018868,"final_mean_weight":0.06234667947167691,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.06827963271630155,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":0.7,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.043642675630173836},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CURRENT_WEB_COORD::d562693ecdbb9fc147f368d8ff5a44afad9bc66e74fde605c81e0fe672e84c39","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.31488,"final_mean_weight":0.0347318567497317,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.03664316939161421,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"Yossi Tatika / Tatika Research","survey_budget_id":"K26_CURRENT_WEB_BUDGET::ZMAN_TATIKA_20260924","vote_share_pp":1.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.05557097079957072},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::1bbd1d38fb8b4124852daab1a1d7e65f6b16a008976687f89a8fe6aeafd9ecbe","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.21034426229508196,"final_mean_weight":0.05216013444295342,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.05216013444295342,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"BLUE_WHITE","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":1.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.06780817477583945},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::32e04878a89627eef5de41219ff4220dca178e47bd3a6ce46b33d70850d3a727","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7351269080979452,"final_mean_weight":0.0695543643888486,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":1.0,"measurement_time":"2026-09-14","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RESERVISTS_AND_NEW_ECONOMIC_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4147_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":3.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.23648483892208524},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::522fb358f9b634e8691d29e7cd56bc67f94f15c342a7dcec153093812d4ce9e6","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.2707894158324047,"final_mean_weight":0.18884486971287717,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.7308259653685093,"measurement_time":"2026-09-15","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RESERVISTS_AND_NEW_ECONOMIC_PARTY","pollster_literal":"DRI","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4154_DRI_INDEPENDENT","vote_share_pp":2.17,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.40979336727694343},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::08f465a12739933c996c75252524925dbe02945c0a64b90b7b4d65a05e5e0f7f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.5964672897196261,"final_mean_weight":0.08577023110930417,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.249209298845595,"measurement_time":"2026-09-16","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RESERVISTS_AND_NEW_ECONOMIC_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Maagar Mochot / Yitzhak Katz","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4151_MAAGAR_CHANNEL16","vote_share_pp":3.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.28304176266070374},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::298a4463621bdcbe0bd690a7f90b3ba959a0f8087e62ca316769e5834892338f","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.5791470054446461,"final_mean_weight":0.0883857922758004,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.20433410702097735,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RESERVISTS_AND_NEW_ECONOMIC_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Kantar Israel","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4160_KANTAR_ISRAEL_HAYOM","vote_share_pp":3.3,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.29167311451014133},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::cc7917e0c9677cfcb551c70c2db08692722ceb3b169d4e83154c2e1f96158943","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.4098285714285715,"final_mean_weight":0.12490189920617553,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.22405649960102597,"measurement_time":"2026-09-17","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RESERVISTS_AND_NEW_ECONOMIC_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4161_DIRECT_POLLS_I24","vote_share_pp":2.2,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.2747841782535862},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::0efb0381b72fde07d8789db9fc2e9e9b451015f47c1ee68ae67f100e9c3b2723","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.7424578156462407,"final_mean_weight":0.06926330965292599,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.11051707000532933,"measurement_time":"2026-09-22","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RESERVISTS_AND_NEW_ECONOMIC_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Midgam Research and Consulting / Mano Geva","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4162_MIDGAM_N12","vote_share_pp":3.5,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.24242158378524095},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CURRENT_WEB_COORD::d99042285843985ea53288fb257e1f0d8765ff256c368cd86051d7f8d789c465","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.2931843575418994,"final_mean_weight":0.17576496331787506,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.21902573781496568,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RESERVISTS_AND_NEW_ECONOMIC_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Direct Polls","survey_budget_id":"K26_CURRENT_WEB_BUDGET::I24_DIRECT_POLLS_20260924","vote_share_pp":1.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.2812239413086001},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CURRENT_WEB_COORD::8950c7724f84eb62543c6d8e3519a440a46f2193cac78114fe619308cd945c48","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.5064799999999999,"final_mean_weight":0.10174446739995009,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.11252057439190834,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RESERVISTS_AND_NEW_ECONOMIC_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Yossi Tatika / Tatika Research","survey_budget_id":"K26_CURRENT_WEB_BUDGET::ZMAN_TATIKA_20260924","vote_share_pp":2.6,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.26453561523987024},{"arm":"R","coordinate_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_COORD::659335e8233a4b1dff39de423566a457dd7abfd8797f758020a289244ff5bc85","effective_observation_variance_pp2":0.5384262295081967,"final_mean_weight":0.095770102936243,"forecast_date":"2026-09-27","gain_at_observation":0.095770102936243,"measurement_time":"2026-09-24T13:30:00+03:00","party_id":"K26_NATIVE_LIST::RESERVISTS_AND_NEW_ECONOMIC_PARTY","pollster_literal":"Lazar Research / Panel4All","survey_budget_id":"K26_CEC_PDF_BUDGET::CEC_4164_LAZAR_MAARIV","vote_share_pp":3.4,"weighted_point_component_pp":0.3256183499832262}],"schema_version":"k26_reader_data_v1","table":"current_poll_weights"}