DISPLAY_NAMES
English bloc names in these website summaries match the site labels. Stable bloc IDs and Hebrew names are unchanged. The original reader package preserves the model's source labels.

STATUS
Both approaches are publicly displayed with the owner's authorization. Original computation and export-stage status fields are preserved as provenance; they do not describe whether the website has since gone live. Earlier displayed dates are retrospective reconstructions, not forecasts issued on those dates.

PROBABILITIES
p61 and threshold_probability are fractions from 0 to 1. p61 means at least 61 seats, not government formation. It assumes no untracked other list passes the threshold.

VOTES
vote_mean, vote_low and vote_high are percentages, not fractions.

SEATS
headline_seats allocate the average simulated vote vector. Bloc expected_seats average simulated allocations. Seat ranges can be conditional on representation; zero is shown separately when supplied. See seat_range_mode.

SEAT_RANGE_MODE
CONDITIONAL_POSITIVE = 80% range among draws with representation. ZERO_SEPARATED_CONDITIONAL_POSITIVE = zero is a separate possibility plus the represented-draw range. ZERO_ONLY_RARE_REPRESENTATION = the package reports zero only; entry can still have a small nonzero probability.

POLL_COUNTS
Available poll entries overlap between lanes and do not establish how many polls were used for each party.

INPUTS
These files summarize the displayed results. Download the separate reader package at /data/k26/2026-09-27/reader/k26_reader_data_2026-09-27.zip for poll sources, transformed inputs, per-date inclusion records, detailed outputs and current-day joint simulations.

DRAWS
The reader package contains September 27's 100,000 shared simulations, not full draw banks for every earlier date. Vote Share Only (R in source files) uses uniform weight_R; Vote and Seat Fusion (D) uses normalized weight_D. Fusion probabilities require those weights and cannot be reproduced by counting draws equally.

PACKAGE_SCOPE
The original reader tables include unavailable dates and future projections as explicitly labelled. A future projection uses the current information cutoff and is not a forecast issued in advance. CSV empty cells and JSON null mean unknown, not zero. Use input_membership to identify which poll records enter each date and role; appearing in a source table alone does not mean a poll was used.

RIGHTS
© 2026 Ariel Danieli / אריאל דניאלי. All rights reserved. Commercial use of model inputs or outputs requires explicit prior consent.